Raydium’s 200% volume spike tests RAY’s breakout strength – Here’s why

RAY surged over 11% in 24 hours to $0.69 as trading volume exploded more than 200%, signaling a sudden shift in participation. 

Buyers stepped in aggressively and pushed the price away from recent compression. Volume reached $60.5M, which dwarfs prior sessions and confirms real engagement. 

Raydium’s [RAY]  price did not grind higher slowly. Instead, it expanded decisively. That matters because expansion phases often precede structural tests. 

However, volume alone does not guarantee continuation. Traders now watch whether this surge reflects sustained conviction or short-term rotation. 

Still, such a sharp spike in activity changes market tone quickly. It forces sidelined participants to reassess positioning while volatility begins to rise again.

Will the breakout above descending resistance hold?

RAY has now broken above its multi-month descending resistance line after months of lower highs. Price reclaimed that falling trendline near the $0.65 region and now trades around $0.684. 

This shift alters structure. For months, sellers defended that slope consistently. Now, buyers challenge it. 

However, structure alone does not confirm reversal. Horizontal resistance still sits at $0.857, while stronger supply waits near $1.287.

 Meanwhile, $0.543 remains critical support if momentum fades. The breakout marks a structural inflection point. 

Yet continuation depends on sustained follow-through above the reclaimed trendline. Without that, the move risks turning into a liquidity sweep rather than a durable reversal.

The RSI rebounded sharply from oversold territory and now hovers near 46. Previously, the oscillator dipped close to 30, reflecting heavy downside pressure. 

Such exhaustion phases often precede relief rallies. Now, RSI trends upward gradually instead of spiking into overbought extremes. 

This behavior suggests rebuilding strength rather than overheating. However, RSI still sits below the 50 midpoint. 

Bulls must reclaim that zone to confirm stronger expansion. Until then, momentum remains transitional.

Has aggressive buying already cooled?

The 90-day Spot Taker CVD has shifted from buyer dominance to neutral. Earlier, aggressive taker buys drove price upward and supported expansion. 

Now, that dominance fades. CVD flattening indicates balance between market buyers and sellers. 

Aggressive demand no longer accelerates. That shift introduces caution. Breakouts require sustained pressure from active buyers. 

When CVD neutralizes, upside momentum often slows. However, neutrality does not imply immediate reversal. 

Instead, it signals a pause in intensity. If buyers reassert dominance, continuation could follow. Conversely, prolonged neutrality may invite selling pressure near resistance levels.

Rising exchange inflows hint at profit-taking

Recent spot netflow turned positive, showing roughly $572K entering exchanges. Inflows mean traders deposit tokens to centralized platforms. 

This behavior often precedes selling activity. During rallies, inflows can reflect profit-taking. Therefore, this metric introduces distribution risk into the equation. 

Earlier outflows suggested holding behavior. Now, deposits increase while price trades near $0.69. The alignment raises short-term caution. 

However, the inflow magnitude remains modest relative to prior spikes seen above $3M historically. 

Traders should monitor whether inflows accelerate further. Sustained deposits could pressure price near resistance.

Open Interest expands as leverage returns

Open Interest jumped 17.81% to $5.14M alongside the price surge. Rising price combined with rising OI often signals fresh positioning. 

Traders appear to enter new leveraged contracts rather than simply close shorts. That dynamic increases volatility potential. 

If price continues higher, leveraged longs may amplify gains. However, crowded positioning also raises liquidation risk. 

A pullback could trigger forced exits quickly. Therefore, OI expansion supports the breakout narrative but also heightens instability. Derivatives activity now plays a larger role in short-term direction.

To sum up, Raydium shows early structural improvement after breaking descending resistance with strong volume. 

However, neutral CVD and rising exchange inflows temper enthusiasm. Fresh leverage enters aggressively, which increases volatility risk. 

If buyers reclaim $0.857 decisively, continuation toward higher supply zones becomes likely. 

Until then, the breakout faces its first conviction test, and sustainability depends on renewed aggressive demand rather than short-term speculation.

Final Summary

• Raydium’s structural shift could extend higher if buyers defend reclaimed resistance zones convincingly.
• However, rising exchange deposits and growing leverage could quickly destabilize short-term upside continuation.