The post AI swarms excel in live markets as Claude tops Gemini, GPT appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. In a move that could redefine how markets measure intelligenceThe post AI swarms excel in live markets as Claude tops Gemini, GPT appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. In a move that could redefine how markets measure intelligence

AI swarms excel in live markets as Claude tops Gemini, GPT

In a move that could redefine how markets measure intelligence, a new arena for ai swarms is emerging directly inside real-money prediction platforms.

PredIQt launches live battleground for autonomous AI in prediction markets

IQ AI has unveiled PredIQt, a new prediction markets platform where autonomous AI agents trade live and are ranked strictly by on-chain performance. Launched from Grand Cayman, Cayman Islands on January 8, 2026, the system connects directly to real markets, starting with Polymarket, and scores agents using one definitive metric: realized returns.

Unlike simulated environments, PredIQt places each agent into active, adversarial markets where every decision carries financial consequences. Moreover, performance is recorded transparently in real time, turning live trading into a continuous public benchmark for AI agent performance.

Claude-based Kassandra tops the first PredIQt season

In PredIQt’s first completed season, agents powered by leading large language models traded on Polymarket over a 17-day period. Competing systems were built on Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.5, Google Gemini 3 Pro, and OpenAI’s GPT-5.1, offering a rare head-to-head comparison in a live market setting.

The Claude-based agent Kassandra delivered a 29 percent return, securing the top spot in the initial ranking. However, Gemini-backed KairoStrats followed with a still-strong 12 percent return, while GPT-powered Celebrate Prime was the only agent to post a loss, declining 19 percent over the same period.

All three agents traded autonomously throughout the season, continuously publishing both their active and historical positions alongside detailed explanations of each decision. That said, the results underline how different model families express reasoning once exposed to real-money constraints.

Prediction markets surge with liquidity and data density

The launch comes as prediction markets enter a phase of rapid expansion. Between January and October 2025, these markets generated more than 27.9 billion US dollars in trading volume, measured by contracts traded. During the week of October 20, they reached a weekly all-time high of 2.3 billion dollars in volume.

As liquidity and participation accelerate, platforms like Polymarket have become some of the most information-dense forecasting venues in the world. Moreover, this depth of order flow and pricing data makes them ideal laboratories for testing how autonomous trading agents interpret and act on probabilistic signals.

From wisdom of crowds to wisdom of agents

PredIQt converts this expanding market structure into a public, performance-based benchmark for AI reasoning under uncertainty. Each agent’s track record is evaluated solely by the returns it generates in live markets, removing subjective scoring and emphasizing outcomes over theory.

Users can inspect every position an agent has ever taken, both open and closed, together with the full chain-of-thought that led to each trade. This architecture offers transparent AI reasoning that can be verified against subsequent market resolutions, providing a rare look at how model-driven strategies evolve as conditions change.

By embedding agents directly into markets with real financial resolution, PredIQt marks a shift in how intelligence is aggregated. Historically, prediction venues have relied on the collective judgment of human participants. However, PredIQt introduces a parallel layer where autonomous systems compete, learn, and adapt in public view.

Competing ai swarms as a new forecasting layer

In this framework, the traditional wisdom of crowds meets the emerging wisdom of agents. As diverse systems interact within the same market, PredIQt effectively stages organized contests among swarms ai architectures, tracking not only what they predict but how they update beliefs when faced with new information.

According to Navin Vethanayagam, Chief Brain of IQ and Co-founder of IQ AI, this shift could unlock a powerful new forecasting layer. He argues that as AI agents grow in number, sophistication, and autonomy, they will increasingly shape how probabilities are discovered, priced, and arbitraged in public markets.

Cesar Rodriguez, CTO of IQ and Co-founder of IQ AI, highlights markets themselves as among the most effective systems humans have built for aggregating information. Moreover, he notes that when autonomous trading agents enter these arenas at scale, new forms of emergent intelligence can arise from their interactions and competition.

Agent tokenization and capital allocation

PredIQt has also been designed to connect with the IQ AI Agent Tokenization Platform (ATP) once agent tokenization is fully enabled. This integration will allow individual strategies to be tokenized, opening a pathway for capital to flow directly toward agents that prove their edge over time.

In practice, tokenization would let communities participate in how successful agents scale, govern, and evolve. That said, the long-term vision extends beyond speculation, toward a programmable layer where capital allocation responds continuously to demonstrated performance across many market environments.

Building the standard for AI performance in markets

As global prediction venues grow in scope and volume, PredIQt aims to become the reference standard for evaluating AI in probabilistic and adversarial settings. The platform’s realized returns ranking system offers a consistent yardstick for comparing models, strategies, and architectures over time.

Beyond performance metrics, the project positions itself as a research environment for understanding how coordinated agent groups might influence the next generation of market intelligence. Moreover, by publishing both trades and rationales, PredIQt provides a structured dataset for analyzing how collective behavior among autonomous systems diverges from human-only baselines.

IQ AI and its DeFi-driven infrastructure

IQ AI builds AI and DeFi infrastructure centered on the IQ token. The company created the Agent Tokenization and Agent Development Kit to support builders of the next generation of tokenized agents, capable of trading, lending, and borrowing cryptocurrencies, including stablecoins, across decentralized markets.

The team also launched KRWQ, described as the first tradeable Korean won stablecoin, developed in partnership with Frax. Together, these components form the broader context in which PredIQt operates, linking agent-based reasoning, tokenized capital, and programmable market access.

In summary, PredIQt positions itself at the intersection of AI, DeFi, and global prediction venues, turning live markets into a transparent scoreboard for autonomous agents and setting the stage for how organized AI collectives may shape tomorrow’s financial intelligence.

Source: https://en.cryptonomist.ch/2026/01/09/ai-swarms-predqt-markets/

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Summarize Any Stock’s Earnings Call in Seconds Using FMP API

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Turn lengthy earnings call transcripts into one-page insights using the Financial Modeling Prep APIPhoto by Bich Tran Earnings calls are packed with insights. They tell you how a company performed, what management expects in the future, and what analysts are worried about. The challenge is that these transcripts often stretch across dozens of pages, making it tough to separate the key takeaways from the noise. With the right tools, you don’t need to spend hours reading every line. By combining the Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) API with Groq’s lightning-fast LLMs, you can transform any earnings call into a concise summary in seconds. The FMP API provides reliable access to complete transcripts, while Groq handles the heavy lifting of distilling them into clear, actionable highlights. In this article, we’ll build a Python workflow that brings these two together. You’ll see how to fetch transcripts for any stock, prepare the text, and instantly generate a one-page summary. Whether you’re tracking Apple, NVIDIA, or your favorite growth stock, the process works the same — fast, accurate, and ready whenever you are. Fetching Earnings Transcripts with FMP API The first step is to pull the raw transcript data. FMP makes this simple with dedicated endpoints for earnings calls. If you want the latest transcripts across the market, you can use the stable endpoint /stable/earning-call-transcript-latest. For a specific stock, the v3 endpoint lets you request transcripts by symbol, quarter, and year using the pattern: https://financialmodelingprep.com/api/v3/earning_call_transcript/{symbol}?quarter={q}&year={y}&apikey=YOUR_API_KEY here’s how you can fetch NVIDIA’s transcript for a given quarter: import requestsAPI_KEY = "your_api_key"symbol = "NVDA"quarter = 2year = 2024url = f"https://financialmodelingprep.com/api/v3/earning_call_transcript/{symbol}?quarter={quarter}&year={year}&apikey={API_KEY}"response = requests.get(url)data = response.json()# Inspect the keysprint(data.keys())# Access transcript contentif "content" in data[0]: transcript_text = data[0]["content"] print(transcript_text[:500]) # preview first 500 characters The response typically includes details like the company symbol, quarter, year, and the full transcript text. If you aren’t sure which quarter to query, the “latest transcripts” endpoint is the quickest way to always stay up to date. Cleaning and Preparing Transcript Data Raw transcripts from the API often include long paragraphs, speaker tags, and formatting artifacts. Before sending them to an LLM, it helps to organize the text into a cleaner structure. Most transcripts follow a pattern: prepared remarks from executives first, followed by a Q&A session with analysts. Separating these sections gives better control when prompting the model. In Python, you can parse the transcript and strip out unnecessary characters. A simple way is to split by markers such as “Operator” or “Question-and-Answer.” Once separated, you can create two blocks — Prepared Remarks and Q&A — that will later be summarized independently. This ensures the model handles each section within context and avoids missing important details. Here’s a small example of how you might start preparing the data: import re# Example: using the transcript_text we fetched earliertext = transcript_text# Remove extra spaces and line breaksclean_text = re.sub(r'\s+', ' ', text).strip()# Split sections (this is a heuristic; real-world transcripts vary slightly)if "Question-and-Answer" in clean_text: prepared, qna = clean_text.split("Question-and-Answer", 1)else: prepared, qna = clean_text, ""print("Prepared Remarks Preview:\n", prepared[:500])print("\nQ&A Preview:\n", qna[:500]) With the transcript cleaned and divided, you’re ready to feed it into Groq’s LLM. Chunking may be necessary if the text is very long. A good approach is to break it into segments of a few thousand tokens, summarize each part, and then merge the summaries in a final pass. Summarizing with Groq LLM Now that the transcript is clean and split into Prepared Remarks and Q&A, we’ll use Groq to generate a crisp one-pager. 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We’ll write a helper to summarize any text block, then run it for both sections and merge. import osimport textwrapimport requestsGROQ_API_KEY = os.environ.get("GROQ_API_KEY") or "your_groq_api_key"GROQ_BASE_URL = "https://api.groq.com/openai/v1" # OpenAI-compatibleMODEL = "llama-3.1-70b" # choose your preferred Groq modeldef call_groq(prompt, temperature=0.2, max_tokens=1200): url = f"{GROQ_BASE_URL}/chat/completions" headers = { "Authorization": f"Bearer {GROQ_API_KEY}", "Content-Type": "application/json", } payload = { "model": MODEL, "messages": [ {"role": "system", "content": "You are a precise, neutral equity research analyst."}, {"role": "user", "content": prompt}, ], "temperature": temperature, "max_tokens": max_tokens, } r = requests.post(url, headers=headers, json=payload, timeout=60) r.raise_for_status() return r.json()["choices"][0]["message"]["content"].strip()def build_prompt(section_text, symbol, quarter, year): template = """ You are an equity research analyst. Summarize the following earnings call section for {symbol} ({quarter} {year}). Be factual and concise. Return: 1) TL;DR (3–5 bullets) 2) Results vs. guidance (what improved/worsened) 3) Forward outlook (specific statements) 4) Risks / watch-outs 5) Q&A takeaways (if present) Text: <<< {section_text} >>> """ return textwrap.dedent(template).format( symbol=symbol, quarter=quarter, year=year, section_text=section_text )def summarize_section(section_text, symbol="NVDA", quarter="Q2", year="2024"): if not section_text or section_text.strip() == "": return "(No content found for this section.)" prompt = build_prompt(section_text, symbol, quarter, year) return call_groq(prompt)# Example usage with the cleaned splits from Section 3prepared_summary = summarize_section(prepared, symbol="NVDA", quarter="Q2", year="2024")qna_summary = summarize_section(qna, symbol="NVDA", quarter="Q2", year="2024")final_one_pager = f"""# {symbol} Earnings One-Pager — {quarter} {year}## Prepared Remarks — Key Points{prepared_summary}## Q&A Highlights{qna_summary}""".strip()print(final_one_pager[:1200]) # preview Tips that keep quality high: Keep temperature low (≈0.2) for factual tone. If a section is extremely long, chunk at ~5–8k tokens, summarize each chunk with the same prompt, then ask the model to merge chunk summaries into one section summary before producing the final one-pager. If you also fetched headline numbers (EPS/revenue, guidance) earlier, prepend them to the prompt as brief context to help the model anchor on the right outcomes. Building the End-to-End Pipeline At this point, we have all the building blocks: the FMP API to fetch transcripts, a cleaning step to structure the data, and Groq LLM to generate concise summaries. The final step is to connect everything into a single workflow that can take any ticker and return a one-page earnings call summary. The flow looks like this: Input a stock ticker (for example, NVDA). Use FMP to fetch the latest transcript. Clean and split the text into Prepared Remarks and Q&A. Send each section to Groq for summarization. Merge the outputs into a neatly formatted earnings one-pager. Here’s how it comes together in Python: def summarize_earnings_call(symbol, quarter, year, api_key, groq_key): # Step 1: Fetch transcript from FMP url = f"https://financialmodelingprep.com/api/v3/earning_call_transcript/{symbol}?quarter={quarter}&year={year}&apikey={api_key}" resp = requests.get(url) resp.raise_for_status() data = resp.json() if not data or "content" not in data[0]: return f"No transcript found for {symbol} {quarter} {year}" text = data[0]["content"] # Step 2: Clean and split clean_text = re.sub(r'\s+', ' ', text).strip() if "Question-and-Answer" in clean_text: prepared, qna = clean_text.split("Question-and-Answer", 1) else: prepared, qna = clean_text, "" # Step 3: Summarize with Groq prepared_summary = summarize_section(prepared, symbol, quarter, year) qna_summary = summarize_section(qna, symbol, quarter, year) # Step 4: Merge into final one-pager return f"""# {symbol} Earnings One-Pager — {quarter} {year}## Prepared Remarks{prepared_summary}## Q&A Highlights{qna_summary}""".strip()# Example runprint(summarize_earnings_call("NVDA", 2, 2024, API_KEY, GROQ_API_KEY)) With this setup, generating a summary becomes as simple as calling one function with a ticker and date. You can run it inside a notebook, integrate it into a research workflow, or even schedule it to trigger after each new earnings release. Free Stock Market API and Financial Statements API... Conclusion Earnings calls no longer need to feel overwhelming. With the Financial Modeling Prep API, you can instantly access any company’s transcript, and with Groq LLM, you can turn that raw text into a sharp, actionable summary in seconds. This pipeline saves hours of reading and ensures you never miss the key results, guidance, or risks hidden in lengthy remarks. Whether you track tech giants like NVIDIA or smaller growth stocks, the process is the same — fast, reliable, and powered by the flexibility of FMP’s data. Summarize Any Stock’s Earnings Call in Seconds Using FMP API was originally published in Coinmonks on Medium, where people are continuing the conversation by highlighting and responding to this story
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