XRP Whale Deposits To Binance Ease: Data Points To Lower Distribution Risk

XRP is attempting to stabilize around the $2.10 level after suffering a sharp 12% retrace from its recent local highs. The pullback has cooled momentum and left the market searching for direction, with bulls struggling to regain control amid broader uncertainty across the crypto sector. While downside pressure has eased for now, price action remains indecisive, reflecting a fragile balance between buyers defending support and sellers taking advantage of recent strength.

Adding important context to this consolidation, a recent CryptoQuant analysis highlights a notable shift in XRP’s on-chain flow dynamics. Data tracking XRP movements to Binance shows that whales have continued to dominate exchange inflows, accounting for roughly 60.3% of total transfers, compared with 39.7% attributed to retail participants.

However, despite whales still representing the majority, their relative participation has been steadily declining since mid-December. This marks a clear change from November and early December, when whale activity peaked above 70% of total flows.

Historically, elevated whale inflows to exchanges are often associated with distribution or increased selling pressure. The gradual reduction in whale dominance suggests that large holders may be easing back from aggressive positioning following the recent correction.

Whale Flows Ease as XRP Searches for a Base

The CryptoQuant report highlights that the recent decline in whale flows to Binance has unfolded alongside a clear price correction in XRP. After peaking near the $3.20 area in late 2025, the average price has retraced toward the $2.26 zone, cooling speculative excess built during the prior rally. Historically, heavy whale inflows to exchanges tend to signal preparation for selling or redistribution. In that context, the gradual reduction in these flows suggests that large holders are, at least for now, stepping back from aggressive distribution.

This shift becomes more meaningful when contrasted with retail behavior. Data show that retail flow percentages have remained relatively stable since mid-December, with no sharp spike in exchange transfers. That stability implies an absence of panic selling among smaller participants, even as the price corrected. When both whales and retail investors refrain from escalating sell pressure simultaneously, market conditions often transition away from impulsive downside moves.

Taken together, this dynamic points toward a potential re-accumulation phase following XRP’s strong advance earlier in the cycle. While whale activity remains elevated in absolute terms, its declining share reduces the probability of a sudden, disorderly sell-off in the near term.

That said, this balance remains fragile. Any renewed surge in whale flows to Binance would quickly alter the outlook, serving as an early warning that distribution may be resuming and that downside risk is increasing again.

Price Struggles To Stabilize After Deep Retracement

XRP price action on the daily chart reflects a market still searching for balance after a sharp correction from late-2025 highs. Following the rejection near the $3.30–$3.40 region, XRP entered a sustained downtrend, printing a series of lower highs and lower lows. This structure remained intact through November and December, confirming persistent bearish pressure as price slipped below key moving averages.

Recently, XRP has attempted to stabilize around the $2.10 area, which is acting as a short-term demand zone. The bounce from sub-$1.90 lows suggests sellers are losing momentum, but the recovery remains technically weak. Price is still trading below the 50-day and 100-day moving averages, both of which are sloping downward and now represent dynamic resistance near the $2.40–$2.60 range. As long as XRP remains capped below these levels, upside moves are likely to face selling pressure.

Volume during the rebound has been relatively muted compared to the sell-off, indicating a lack of strong conviction from buyers. This supports the view that the current move is corrective rather than the start of a new trend. Structurally, XRP would need to reclaim and hold above the $2.50 zone to invalidate the broader bearish setup.

The chart suggests consolidation risk remains elevated. Failure to defend $2.00 decisively could reopen downside toward prior liquidity zones, while a clean break above moving-average resistance would be required to signal a meaningful shift in momentum.

Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com