Oil rises on concern about supply disruptions in Venezuela and Iran

• US aims to control Venezuela’s oil sector
• Iran unrest and Ukraine war raise supply concern
• Rise in global inventories may limit price gain

Oil prices rose for a second day on Friday, set for their third weekly gain, on uncertainty about future supply from Venezuela and as Iranian unrest increases concerns about output there.

Brent futures rose 40 cents, or 0.7 percent, to $62.39 per barrel at 04:00 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude gained 35 cents, or 0.6 percent, to $58.11.

Both benchmark prices climbed more than 3 percent on Thursday, following two straight days of declines, and Brent is set to climb 2.7 percent for the week, while WTI has gained 1.4 percent for the week.

“Bottlenecks in the flow of sanctioned barrels and steady demand signals appear to counter the backdrop of an oversupplied 2026, at least for now,” said Priyanka Sachdeva, senior market analyst at Phillip Nova. “Escalation in geopolitical stress adds to the current momentum in oil prices.”

Prices have gained following US President Donald Trump’s seizure of Venezuelan leader Nicolas Maduro last week and his claims the US will control the South American country’s oil sector.

Civil unrest in major Middle Eastern producer Iran and concerns about the spread of the Russia-Ukraine war to target Russian oil exports have also increased supply concerns.

“The price surge has been primarily due to Trump’s claim to control Venezuela’s oil export, which could see a price increase from previously discounted sales,” said Tina Teng, market strategist at Moomoo ANZ.

Oil major Chevron Corp, global trading houses Vitol and Trafigura, and other firms are competing for US government deals to export crude oil from Venezuela, according to sources familiar with the matter.

Trump has demanded that Venezuela give the US full access to its oil sector just days after it captured Maduro on Saturday. US officials have said Washington will control the country’s oil sales and revenues indefinitely.

The companies are contesting initial deals to market the up to 50 million barrels of oil that state-run oil company PDVSA has accumulated in inventories amid a severe oil embargo that has involved four tanker seizures, two of the sources said.

Further reading:

• Opec+ intends to maintain oil output freeze
• For Opec, Venezuela is a strategic alarm rather than a supply shock
• Libyan oil revenues rise as output hits 10-year high

“The market will focus on the outcome in the coming days for how the Venezuelan oil in storage will be sold and delivered. Oversupply concerns could remain a concern if there is no limitation on sales,” said Teng.

Oil prices surged after several subdued days, partly correcting earlier neglect of geopolitical risks, Haitong Futures said in a report on Friday.

A nationwide internet blackout was reported in Iran on Thursday, internet monitoring group NetBlocks said, as protests in Tehran and the major cities of Mashhad and Isfahan and other areas around the country over economic hardship continued.

Still, global inventories are rising, and oversupply remains the main driver that could cap the gain, Haitong Futures said.

Unless risks around Iran escalate, the rebound is likely limited and hard to sustain, Haitong Futures added.