The post Here’s Why VanEck Says Bitcoin Could Reach $2.9 Million by 2050 appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Home » Crypto News VanEck says Bitcoin could reachThe post Here’s Why VanEck Says Bitcoin Could Reach $2.9 Million by 2050 appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Home » Crypto News VanEck says Bitcoin could reach

Here’s Why VanEck Says Bitcoin Could Reach $2.9 Million by 2050

Home » Crypto News


VanEck says Bitcoin could reach $2.9 million by 2050 if it captures a share of trade settlement and reserves.

‘;
}

function loadTrinityPlayer(targetWrapper, theme,extras=””) {
cleanupPlayer(targetWrapper); // Always clean first ✅
targetWrapper.classList.add(‘played’);
// Create script
const scriptEl = document.createElement(“script”);
scriptEl.setAttribute(“fetchpriority”, “high”);
scriptEl.setAttribute(“charset”, “UTF-8”);

const scriptURL = new URL(`https://trinitymedia.ai/player/trinity/2900019254/?themeAppearance=${theme}${extras}`);
scriptURL.searchParams.set(“pageURL”, window.location.href);

scriptEl.src = scriptURL.toString();

// Insert player
const placeholder = targetWrapper.querySelector(“.add-before-this”);
placeholder.parentNode.insertBefore(scriptEl, placeholder.nextSibling);
}

function getTheme() {
return document.body.classList.contains(“dark”) ? “dark” : “light”;
}

// Initial Load for Desktop
if (window.innerWidth > 768) {

const desktopBtn = document.getElementById(“desktopPlayBtn”);
if (desktopBtn) {
desktopBtn.addEventListener(“click”, function () {
const desktopWrapper = document.querySelector(“.desktop-player-wrapper.trinity-player-iframe-wrapper”);
if (desktopWrapper) loadTrinityPlayer(desktopWrapper, getTheme(),’&autoplay=1′);
});
}
}

// Mobile Button Click
const mobileBtn = document.getElementById(“mobilePlayBtn”);
if (mobileBtn) {
mobileBtn.addEventListener(“click”, function () {
const mobileWrapper = document.querySelector(“.mobile-player-wrapper.trinity-player-iframe-wrapper”);
if (mobileWrapper) loadTrinityPlayer(mobileWrapper, getTheme(),’&autoplay=1′);
});
}
function reInitButton(container,html){
container.innerHTML = ” + html;
}

// Theme switcher
const destroyButton = document.getElementById(“checkbox”);
if (destroyButton) {
destroyButton.addEventListener(“click”, () => {
setTimeout(() => {
const theme = getTheme();
if (window.innerWidth > 768) {
const desktopWrapper = document.querySelector(“.desktop-player-wrapper.trinity-player-iframe-wrapper”);
if(desktopWrapper.classList.contains(‘played’)){
loadTrinityPlayer(desktopWrapper, theme,’&autoplay=1′);
}else{
reInitButton(desktopWrapper,’Listen‘)
const desktopBtn = document.getElementById(“desktopPlayBtn”);
if (desktopBtn) {
desktopBtn.addEventListener(“click”, function () {
const desktopWrapper = document.querySelector(“.desktop-player-wrapper.trinity-player-iframe-wrapper”);
if (desktopWrapper) loadTrinityPlayer(desktopWrapper,theme,’&autoplay=1’);
});
}
}
} else {
const mobileWrapper = document.querySelector(“.mobile-player-wrapper.trinity-player-iframe-wrapper”);
if(mobileWrapper.classList.contains(‘played’)){
loadTrinityPlayer(mobileWrapper, theme,’&autoplay=1′);
}else{
const mobileBtn = document.getElementById(“mobilePlayBtn”);
if (mobileBtn) {
mobileBtn.addEventListener(“click”, function () {
const mobileWrapper = document.querySelector(“.mobile-player-wrapper.trinity-player-iframe-wrapper”);
if (mobileWrapper) loadTrinityPlayer(mobileWrapper,theme,’&autoplay=1′);
});
}
}
}
}, 100);
});
}
})();



Summarize with AI



Summarize with AI

VanEck’s Head of Digital Assets Research Matthew Sigel said Bitcoin could reach a valuation of nearly $2.9 million by 2050 under the firm’s long-term base-case scenario.

This projection is driven by BTC’s adoption as a settlement currency for 5% to 10% of global trade and its emergence as a reserve asset comprising 2.5% of central bank balance sheets.

VanEck’s Bold Long-Term Call

In a note detailing VanEck’s 25-year capital market assumptions, Sigel projected a 15% compound annual growth rate for Bitcoin between 2026 and 2050, as he framed the asset’s long-term value around structural monetary adoption rather than short-term price cycles.

The analysis treats Bitcoin as a non-sovereign monetary asset whose valuation cannot be captured by traditional equity-based models such as discounted cash flow or price-to-earnings ratios. Instead, VanEck based this analysis on BTC’s potential penetration into two addressable markets, which are global trade settlement and official reserve assets held by central banks.

Based on these assumptions, the asset manager’s base case results in a $2.9 million price per BTC by 2050, using a baseline price of approximately $88,000 as of December 31, 2025, solely to calculate implied growth rates. VanEck also presented alternative scenarios to frame risk.

In a bear case, where adoption stalls and Bitcoin fails to meaningfully penetrate either trade settlement or reserve assets, the firm estimated a 2% compound annual growth rate and a price of roughly $130,000 by 2050. At the upper end, VanEck described a bull-case scenario in which Bitcoin captures 20% of international trade and 10% of domestic GDP. Under this scenario, BTC’s price would reach about $53.4 million, which implies a 29% annualized return and requires it to rival or exceed gold’s role as a global reserve asset.

Fragile Market Conditions

While VanEck focuses on multi-decade adoption scenarios, near-term market structure tells a different story. Matrixport, for one, stated that Bitcoin’s 2026 outlook is less about a new cycle and more about “tactical” trading. The firm explained that the crypto asset has entered a materially different regime than past early-cycle rebounds, and broader structural indicators still appear unfavorable for a bull market despite some improving technical signals.

You may also like:

Declining volumes, weakening capital inflows, and historical behavior after a break below the one-year moving average point to a more selective and challenging environment ahead. On-chain data further validates this view and shows large, experienced holders steadily distributing supply while new address growth and realized-cap inflows remain muted, which indicates limited fresh capital and low participation from new investors.

SPECIAL OFFER (Exclusive)

SECRET PARTNERSHIP BONUS for CryptoPotato readers: Use this link to register and unlock $1,500 in exclusive BingX Exchange rewards (limited time offer).

Source: https://cryptopotato.com/heres-why-vaneck-says-bitcoin-could-reach-2-9-million-by-2050/

Market Opportunity
Polytrade Logo
Polytrade Price(TRADE)
$0.06244
$0.06244$0.06244
-2.39%
USD
Polytrade (TRADE) Live Price Chart
Disclaimer: The articles reposted on this site are sourced from public platforms and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not necessarily reflect the views of MEXC. All rights remain with the original authors. If you believe any content infringes on third-party rights, please contact service@support.mexc.com for removal. MEXC makes no guarantees regarding the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the content and is not responsible for any actions taken based on the information provided. The content does not constitute financial, legal, or other professional advice, nor should it be considered a recommendation or endorsement by MEXC.

You May Also Like

American Bitcoin’s $5B Nasdaq Debut Puts Trump-Backed Miner in Crypto Spotlight

American Bitcoin’s $5B Nasdaq Debut Puts Trump-Backed Miner in Crypto Spotlight

The post American Bitcoin’s $5B Nasdaq Debut Puts Trump-Backed Miner in Crypto Spotlight appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Key Takeaways: American Bitcoin (ABTC) surged nearly 85% on its Nasdaq debut, briefly reaching a $5B valuation. The Trump family, alongside Hut 8 Mining, controls 98% of the newly merged crypto-mining entity. Eric Trump called Bitcoin “modern-day gold,” predicting it could reach $1 million per coin. American Bitcoin, a fast-rising crypto mining firm with strong political and institutional backing, has officially entered Wall Street. After merging with Gryphon Digital Mining, the company made its Nasdaq debut under the ticker ABTC, instantly drawing global attention to both its stock performance and its bold vision for Bitcoin’s future. Read More: Trump-Backed Crypto Firm Eyes Asia for Bold Bitcoin Expansion Nasdaq Debut: An Explosive First Day ABTC’s first day of trading proved as dramatic as expected. Shares surged almost 85% at the open, touching a peak of $14 before settling at lower levels by the close. That initial spike valued the company around $5 billion, positioning it as one of 2025’s most-watched listings. At the last session, ABTC has been trading at $7.28 per share, which is a small positive 2.97% per day. Although the price has decelerated since opening highs, analysts note that the company has been off to a strong start and early investor activity is a hard-to-find feat in a newly-launched crypto mining business. According to market watchers, the listing comes at a time of new momentum in the digital asset markets. With Bitcoin trading above $110,000 this quarter, American Bitcoin’s entry comes at a time when both institutional investors and retail traders are showing heightened interest in exposure to Bitcoin-linked equities. Ownership Structure: Trump Family and Hut 8 at the Helm Its management and ownership set up has increased the visibility of the company. The Trump family and the Canadian mining giant Hut 8 Mining jointly own 98 percent…
Share
BitcoinEthereumNews2025/09/18 01:33
FCA, crackdown on crypto

FCA, crackdown on crypto

The post FCA, crackdown on crypto appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The regulation of cryptocurrencies in the United Kingdom enters a decisive phase. The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) has initiated a consultation to set minimum standards on transparency, consumer protection, and digital custody, in order to strengthen market confidence and ensure safer operations for exchanges, wallets, and crypto service providers. The consultation was published on May 2, 2025, and opened a public discussion on operational responsibilities and safeguarding requirements for digital assets (CoinDesk). The goal is to make the rules clearer without hindering the sector’s evolution. According to the data collected by our regulatory monitoring team, in the first weeks following the publication, the feedback received from professionals and operators focused mainly on custody, incident reporting, and insurance requirements. Industry analysts note that many responses require technical clarifications on multi-sig, asset segregation, and recovery protocols, as well as proposals to scale obligations based on the size of the operator. FCA Consultation: What’s on the Table The consultation document clarifies how to apply rules inspired by traditional finance to the crypto perimeter, balancing innovation, market integrity, and user protection. In this context, the goal is to introduce minimum standards for all firms under the supervision of the FCA, an essential step for a more transparent and secure sector, with measurable benefits for users. The proposed pillars Obligations towards consumers: assessment on the extension of the Consumer Duty – a requirement that mandates companies to provide “good outcomes” – to crypto services, with outcomes for users that are traceable and verifiable. Operational resilience: introduction of continuity requirements, incident response plans, and periodic testing to ensure the operational stability of platforms even in adverse scenarios. Financial Crime Prevention: strengthening AML/CFT measures through more stringent transaction monitoring and structured counterpart checks. Custody and safeguarding: definition of operational methods for the segregation of client assets, secure…
Share
BitcoinEthereumNews2025/09/18 05:40
Gold continues to hit new highs. How to invest in gold in the crypto market?

Gold continues to hit new highs. How to invest in gold in the crypto market?

As Bitcoin encounters a "value winter", real-world gold is recasting the iron curtain of value on the blockchain.
Share
PANews2025/04/14 17:12