HBAR Technical Analysis Jan 22

HBAR is consolidating at the $0.11 level within the general downtrend; efforts to hold critical supports are visible alongside bearish Supertrend and MACD signals. RSI at 39.54 is in the neutral zone close to oversold, but BTC’s bearish structure is creating pressure on altcoins – short-term risk is high, $0.1160 resistance is critical for long-term recovery.

Executive Summary

HBAR is trading at the $0.11 price level as of January 22, 2026, showing a +0.64% daily increase, yet the overall market structure maintains the downtrend. The price remains below EMA20 ($0.12) with Supertrend giving a bearish signal and unable to approach $0.13 resistance. Momentum indicators (RSI 39.54, negative MACD histogram) support the bearish bias, while critical supports at $0.1019 and $0.1062 are being monitored. 11 strong levels have been identified across multiple timeframes; BTC’s downtrend could create additional pressure on HBAR. Risk/reward ratio is low for bull targets ($0.1475) (score 30/100), while the bear target ($0.0710) appears more likely. Strategic approach: Long at supports, wait for resistance breakout – upside may remain limited without volume increase. Click for HBAR Spot Analysis and HBAR Futures Analysis.

Market Structure and Trend Status

Current Trend Analysis

HBAR’s market structure exhibits a clear downtrend; higher timeframes (1W, 3D) confirm lower lows. On the daily chart, the price has declined nearly 40% from recent highs (around $0.18, December 2025) to $0.11. Short-term (1D) consolidation is observed in the $0.1062-$0.1160 range, but there is no trend change signal without a breakout above EMA20 ($0.12). The Supertrend indicator is in bearish mode and capping at $0.13 resistance; buying pressure will remain weak unless this level breaks. In the long-term view (1W), the $0.08 lows from early 2025 could be tested if BTC continues to decline.

Structural Levels

Structural levels are derived from Fibonacci retracements and pivot points with multi-timeframe confirmation. Main support: $0.1019 (73/100 score, 1D/3D confluence). Secondary support: $0.1062 (64/100, volume-based). On the resistance side: $0.1160 (67/100, near EMA20), followed by $0.13 Supertrend. On the weekly view, monitor $0.15 psychological resistance and $0.20 (2025 high). In this structure, a break below $0.1019 brings bearish momentum, while a 1W close above $0.1160 signals a bullish reversal.

Technical Indicators Report

Momentum Indicators

RSI(14) at 39.54 is in the neutral-bearish zone; close to the oversold (30) threshold but no divergence – selling pressure may continue. MACD shows a widening negative histogram, with the signal line crossover above confirming bearish momentum. Stochastic %K %D at the lower line (20/15), short-term bounce potential exists but volume is required for strengthening. CCI at -120 signals correction within the trend. Overall momentum confluence: 70% bearish, awaiting RSI above 50 and MACD zero-line crossover for recovery.

Trend Indicators

EMA clustering is bearish: Price below EMA20 ($0.12), EMA50 ($0.13), and EMA200 ($0.15). Death cross (EMA20

Critical Support and Resistance Analysis

Critical levels from multi-timeframe analysis (1D: 2S/1R, 3D: 2S/2R, 1W: 2S/4R) have identified 11 strong zones. Supports: $0.1019 (high-volume base, 73/100 – 3D low), $0.1062 (64/100 – 1D pivot), $0.09 (long-term, 1W low). Resistance: $0.1160 (67/100 – EMA20/1D high), $0.13 (Supertrend), $0.1475 (Fib 0.618, bull target score 30/100). These levels show price action reactions with 70% probability; holding $0.1019 allows range trading, a break brings a bear run. Per volume profile, $0.1062 is the highest POC (point of control).

Volume and Market Participation

24h volume at $86.81M is moderate, in line with daily average (50% high) but low volatility due to tight range ($0.11-$0.11). OBV (on-balance volume) shows negative divergence – volume declining while price stable, hidden selling pressure. VWAP near $0.112, price below (bearish). Volume down 20% in last 7 days, but spikes expected at supports. Market participation low; $100M+ volume confluence required for breakout. This data supports trend continuation – high fakeout risk without volume increase.

Risk Assessment

Risk/reward: From current $0.11, bull target $0.1475 (+34%, score 30/100, RR 1:1.2), bear target $0.0710 (-35%, score 22/100, RR 1:2.8 low probability). Main risks: BTC decline (+1.04% daily but downtrend), global risk-off (BTC dominance 55+), no HBAR-specific news but ecosystem developments should be monitored. Stop-loss suggestion: Below $0.1019 for longs, above $0.1160 for shorts. Daily volatility 5%, max position size 2%. Overall risk score: 7/10 bearish, drops to 5/10 if supports hold.

Bitcoin Correlation

HBAR correlates with BTC at 0.85%; BTC in downtrend at $89,300 (Supertrend bearish), supports at $88,402/$86,703/$84,681. If BTC fails to break $91,172 resistance, additional altcoin declines expected – HBAR could be dragged to $0.1019. If BTC dominance rises (current bearish context), HBAR remains under pressure. To watch: BTC break below $84k triggers HBAR bear target, above $92k supports HBAR $0.13 breakout. Altcoin caution: BTC leadership impacts 70%.

Conclusion and Strategic Outlook

HBAR’s full technical picture is bearish: Downtrend, bearish indicator confluence (75% bearish), testing critical supports. Short-term bounce limited to $0.1160, long-term recovery requires BTC reversal and volume increase. Strategy: Range trade above $0.1019 (long $0.1062, target $0.1160), short on breakdown to $0.0710. For upside, await $0.13 Supertrend flip and RSI 50+. Market is unstable, patience-focused approach key – professional traders should use support confluence. This analysis provides a clear roadmap in a risky environment through multi-indicator synthesis.