Ripple Price Prediction: XRP Fractal Setup Points to $10 If $1.20 Support Holds

TLDR

• XRP’s long-term fractal mirrors the 2017 cycle, with $1.20 acting as structural support.
• Reclaiming $2.00 weekly would invalidate the bearish fractal and confirm trend recovery.
• XRP against BTC compression near historical lows signals an asymmetric upside setup.
• Elliott Wave structure shows $1.20 as the key level separating recovery from deeper downside.

XRP price is approaching a critical inflection point as multiple technical models highlight similarities with prior cycle bottoms. Analysts are focusing on long-term fractal structures, relative strength against Bitcoin, and short-term Elliott Wave signals to assess downside risk and recovery potential. Key levels under review include $1.20 support, $2.00 resistance, and long-term upside projections tied to historical patterns.

XRP Price Fractal Mirrors 2017 Cycle Compression

According to analyst ChartNerdTA, the long-term XRP price structure shows striking similarities between the 2017 cycle and the current 2026 setup. In both periods, XRP experienced a parabolic rally followed by a prolonged multi-year consolidation forming a large triangle. The current structure mirrors the prior cycle’s (A), (B), and (C) rejection phases, with price compressing toward the lower trendline near $1.20.

SOURCE: X

Notably, both cycles recorded deep retracements of roughly 80–90% from their respective all-time highs. In 2017, this decline preceded a rapid expansion once selling pressure exhausted. Current momentum indicators reflect a similar environment, with volume contracting and oversold conditions emerging as XRP trades near long-term support.

IMportantly, the analyst highlighted that reclaiming $2.00 on a weekly basis would invalidate the bearish fractal and confirm structural recovery. Until that occurs, the XRP price remains in a compression phase, where historical symmetry suggests volatility expansion typically follows prolonged downside pressure.

XRP Against BTC Compression Highlights Asymmetric Setup

Meanwhile, according to analyst Egragcrypto, the XRP against BTC pair is approaching the apex of a descending wedge that has been developing since 2014. Price is currently pressing against a key support zone near 0.000019, which has historically marked major cycle lows for XRP relative to Bitcoin. Volume continues to thin, signaling that directional resolution is nearing.

SOURCE: X

Also, the chart outlines multiple accumulation phases where XRP underperformed before staging sharp relative recoveries. If the current support holds, the structure opens room for a rotation back into altcoins, particularly during periods of Bitcoin strength. Breakout projections from the wedge suggest meaningful upside potential if momentum shifts.

Additionally, fundamental developments such as rising cross-border settlement usage and ecosystem expansion add context to the technical setup. However, failure to defend the current ratio support could extend XRP’s relative weakness, reinforcing the importance of the coming reaction.

Short-Term XRP Price Tests Elliott Wave Support

Furthermore, analyst More Crypto Online focused on the short-term XRP price structure through an Elliott Wave lens. A contracting triangle formed on the one-hour chart resolved to the downside, sending price toward $1.46 before stabilizing. This move aligned with a textbook triangle breakdown, supported by rising volume during the impulse.

SOURCE: X

The next critical level sits near $1.20, which aligns with a higher-timeframe wave structure and Fibonacci support. According to the analysis, price may attempt a relief rally toward $1.60, where prior support could act as resistance. Failure to reclaim this zone would keep downside pressure active.

If $1.20 holds, the structure allows for a broader corrective reversal targeting the $2.00 zone. Conversely, a breakdown below that level would expose the psychological $1.00 zone. In this context, XRP price action remains level-driven, with confirmation required before trend resolution.

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