Google: To maintain leadership in AI, the patent system must evolve

The post The $40 Million ‘Free Money’ Glitch in Crypto Prediction Markets appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. In brief Researchers found $40 million in “risk-free” profits from mispriced markets on Polymarket in one year. Prices on some markets didn’t add up to 100%, letting traders lock in guaranteed gains. The same inefficiencies likely exist on other platforms like Myriad and Kalshi, though arbitrageurs help correct them. A new academic paper suggests there’s been a steady stream of “free money” lying around on Polymarket—and smart traders have been scooping it up. The paper, Unravelling the Probabilistic Forest: Arbitrage in Prediction Markets, is the most detailed look yet at how mispricing creeps into crypto’s most popular prediction platform. The researchers combed through a year of data, from April 2024 to April 2025, and found thousands of instances where market prices simply didn’t add up. In some cases, the prices of “Yes” and “No” shares in a single market didn’t sum to one dollar as they theoretically should, creating a risk-free profit for anyone quick enough to pounce.  In other cases, the mispricing was more subtle, involving logically related markets. For example, a market on “Trump wins the presidency” might trade at very different odds than “Republican wins the presidency,” even though those outcomes are tightly linked. By buying and selling combinations of these contracts, a savvy trader could lock in a profit no matter what happens. The researchers estimate more than $40 million in profits have already been pulled from the system by arbitrageurs, traders who specialize in sniffing out and exploiting these kinds of inconsistencies. Far from being a theoretical curiosity, this is a live and lucrative business model. Is this pattern true across all prediction markets? What’s striking is how common these opportunities are. The study found more than 7,000 markets with measurable mispricing, many in highly liquid, closely watched contracts. “Prediction markets are often treated…

BitcoinWorld Explosive Growth: 100 Crypto ETFs Poised for Launch Within a Year Imagine a future where investing in digital assets becomes as straightforward as buying a stock. That future might be closer than you think! A groundbreaking analysis suggests that as many as 100 crypto ETFs could hit the market within the next 12 months. This anticipated surge follows the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) recent approval of new, more relaxed listing standards, signaling a significant shift in the accessibility of cryptocurrency investments for everyday investors. What’s Driving This Predicted Surge in Crypto ETFs? This optimistic forecast comes from Eric Balchunas, a senior ETF analyst at Bloomberg, who draws parallels to a previous regulatory shift in traditional finance. Balchunas referenced data shared by Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan, highlighting a similar phenomenon that occurred after the SEC adopted new ETF regulations in late 2019. Following those changes, the number of traditional finance ETF launches saw an incredible boost, soaring from approximately 117 to 370 annually. The expectation is that crypto ETFs will follow a comparable trajectory. The core reason behind this projected boom is the SEC’s evolving stance. By easing the listing standards, the regulatory body is effectively opening the floodgates for financial institutions to offer regulated investment products tied to cryptocurrencies. This move reduces the hurdles for fund providers, making it easier and more attractive for them to bring innovative crypto-focused products to market. Consequently, investors stand to benefit from a wider array of choices and potentially more secure investment avenues. Why are Crypto ETFs a Game Changer for Investors? The potential launch of numerous crypto ETFs is truly a game-changer for several reasons. For many, direct investment in cryptocurrencies can feel complex and intimidating due to concerns about custody, security, and navigating exchanges. ETFs offer a streamlined solution, allowing investors to gain exposure to digital assets without directly owning or managing them. Here are some key benefits: Enhanced Accessibility: Investors can buy and sell shares of crypto ETFs through traditional brokerage accounts, just like stocks or other ETFs, making them accessible to a much broader audience. Regulatory Oversight: Being regulated products, these ETFs offer a layer of investor protection and transparency that might be perceived as lacking in the direct crypto market. Diversification Opportunities: Some ETFs might track a basket of cryptocurrencies, providing instant diversification across the digital asset landscape without needing to purchase individual coins. Professional Management: ETFs are managed by financial professionals, potentially reducing the burden of active portfolio management for individual investors. This shift represents a maturation of the cryptocurrency market, bridging the gap between traditional finance and the innovative world of digital assets. Navigating the Future of Crypto ETFs: Opportunities and Challenges While the prospect of 100 new crypto ETFs is exciting, it is important for investors to consider both the opportunities and potential challenges. The increased availability of these products will undoubtedly lead to greater market participation and could drive further institutional interest in the crypto space. It also suggests a growing acceptance of cryptocurrencies as a legitimate asset class. However, the cryptocurrency market remains inherently volatile. Even within a regulated ETF structure, the underlying assets are subject to significant price swings. Investors should conduct thorough due diligence and understand the specific investment objectives and risks associated with each ETF. Furthermore, the regulatory landscape, while evolving, is still relatively nascent. Future regulatory changes could impact the performance and structure of these funds. The next year promises to be a pivotal period for the intersection of traditional finance and digital assets. As more crypto ETFs come online, they will undoubtedly reshape how individuals and institutions engage with this dynamic market. Summary: A New Era for Crypto Investing The analysis predicting up to 100 crypto ETFs within the next year marks a thrilling new chapter for digital asset investing. Fueled by relaxed SEC listing rules and a clear precedent from traditional finance, this potential influx of regulated products promises to make cryptocurrency exposure more accessible, secure, and diversified for a wider range of investors. While opportunities abound, understanding the inherent market volatility and evolving regulatory environment remains crucial. This development is set to transform the investment landscape, inviting both seasoned and new investors to explore the exciting potential of the crypto market through a more familiar vehicle. Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs) What are crypto ETFs? Crypto ETFs (Exchange-Traded Funds) are investment funds that trade on traditional stock exchanges and track the price of one or more cryptocurrencies. They allow investors to gain exposure to digital assets without directly buying and holding the underlying cryptocurrency. Why is the SEC’s approval of new listing standards important for crypto ETFs? The SEC’s approval of new listing standards simplifies the process for financial institutions to launch and list crypto-related investment products. This regulatory clarity and reduced barrier to entry are expected to encourage a significant increase in the number of available crypto ETFs. How do crypto ETFs benefit investors compared to direct crypto ownership? Crypto ETFs offer benefits such as easier access through traditional brokerage accounts, a layer of regulatory oversight, potential for diversification through baskets of cryptocurrencies, and professional management, all without the complexities of direct crypto custody and security. What are the main risks associated with investing in crypto ETFs? The primary risks include the inherent volatility of the underlying cryptocurrency market, which can lead to significant price fluctuations for the ETF. Additionally, the evolving regulatory landscape for cryptocurrencies could introduce new challenges or changes impacting these funds. When can we expect these new crypto ETFs to launch? According to the analyst’s prediction, up to 100 new crypto ETFs could launch within the next 12 months, following the SEC’s recent approval of new listing standards. If you found this article insightful, consider sharing it with your network! Help us spread the word about the exciting future of crypto investing and the potential impact of new crypto ETFs. Your shares help more people stay informed and make educated investment decisions. To learn more about the latest crypto market trends, explore our article on key developments shaping crypto ETFs institutional adoption. This post Explosive Growth: 100 Crypto ETFs Poised for Launch Within a Year first appeared on BitcoinWorld.

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