XRP Price Prediction: Deeper Pullback Still Ahead Despite ETF Inflows?

Key Insights

• XRP price prediction turns cautious as EMA ribbon flips bearish on higher timeframes.
• Spot XRP ETFs see inflows of nearly $1B to keep shrinking available supply on exchanges.
• Loss of $2 support may open downside towards the $1.90-$1.82 demand zone.

XRP price prediction has hit a critical point where technical warning signals are battling with increased institutional demand.

While new spot XRP ETFs are continuing to attract capital, the price structure shows growing downside pressure.

As a result, XRP price prediction is now conditional on whether historical risk patterns override long-term accumulation trends.

XRP Price Prediction Signals Risk as EMA Ribbon Turns Bearish

XRP price prediction turned cautious on the three-day EMA ribbon structure. A chart by Steph is Crypto highlighted a repeating historical pattern linked to this indicator.

Every time the EMA ribbon flipped bearish and price was below it, extended drawdowns followed it.

These moves were short-lived corrections. Instead, they turned into multi-month downtrends of 27-66% losses.

Notably, bigger declines occurred when the EMA ribbon was bearish for longer periods of time. Past examples in 2014, 2017, 2019 and 2022 show no exceptions to this pattern.

Each cycle was the same: breakdown, consolidation and delayed recovery. This consistency gives weight to the current warning signal.

At this time, XRP keeps trading below the EMA ribbon. This positioning has downside risk active in the near-term. Until price recovers the ribbon, XRP price prediction remains structurally fragile.

Institutional ETF Inflows Boost The Long-Term XRP Story

Despite technical pressure, XRP price prediction gets better when institutional activity is taken into consideration.

Spot XRP ETFs have offered a regulated way forward for big money to gain exposure. This shift has changed the way that XRP is perceived within traditional finance.

ETF inflows are hitting the $1 billion mark in a short time. This pace is faster than early adoption rates observed in several of the big crypto ETFs.

As a result, XRP is beginning to be regarded as a legitimate market asset more and more. Daily ETF purchases continuously pull XRP out of the exchange circulation.

This process tightens available supply over time. Notably, a lower supply base often compounds the effect of price reaction when demand picks up.

Regulatory clarity reinforced this trend further. Clear legal outcomes demystified for institutional investors. As a result, XRP now fits more easily into conventional portfolio strategies.

There’s the added benefit of Ripple’s growing involvement in cross-border payments lending fundamental support to it.

There is real-world utility, that means there is demand beyond speculative trading. Together, these factors make the XRP price prediction outlook much better for the long-term.

XRP Price Action Still Under Bearish Control

XRP price prediction is still cautious when analyzing short-term trends. As per the data on CoinStats, XRP has declined by about 1.35% in the last session. Price is now closer to support than resistance on intraday charts.

In the hourly time frame, the buyers have really struggled to gain back momentum. If this weakness continues, there is likely to be a breakdown toward the $1.98 level.

That area is the closest short-term support objective. The daily chart shows much more importance on the $2.00 level.

This is the psychological and structural threshold area. A strong loss could hasten downside pressure.

Therefore, this support is vital for the following weeks. Failure to hold it could run the current decline into the month-end. Near-term XRP price prediction remains defensive.