Prediction-Market

Prediction Markets are decentralized platforms where users trade shares based on the outcome of future events, ranging from elections to sports and crypto prices.By leveraging the "wisdom of the crowd," platforms like Polymarket provide highly accurate, censorship-resistant forecasting data. In 2026, these markets serve as a primary source of sentiment analysis and risk hedging. This tag covers the technology behind decentralized oracles, event-based liquidity, and the growing role of prediction markets in global information discovery.

906 Articles
Created: 2026/02/02 18:52
Updated: 2026/02/02 18:52
Larry Fink, Brian Armstrong and Crypto’s next act

Larry Fink, Brian Armstrong and Crypto’s next act

The post Larry Fink, Brian Armstrong and Crypto’s next act appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Brian Armstrong and Larry Fink debate Bitcoin, tokenization, regulation and AI, sketching a crypto‑infused, tech‑driven future for global finance. Summary Fink recasts Bitcoin as “an asset of fear” and a long‑term hedge, while Armstrong dismisses the Buffett‑Munger “zero” thesis.​ Both see 2025 as a regulatory turning point, with U.S. law shifting crypto from gray zone to “well‑lit establishment” amid heavy industry lobbying.​ Tokenization and stablecoins, they argue, will strip out friction, reshape banks’ business models and determine whether the U.S. can keep pace with India and Brazil. Brian Armstrong and Larry Fink use the DealBook Summit stage to sketch a future where Bitcoin, stablecoins, and tokenization sit inside—rather than outside—the global financial system, even as they disagree on whether crypto is ultimately driven by hope or fear. ​The two joined DealBook Summit host Andrew Sorokin on stage on Dec. 3 to discuss how the landscape of crypto is changing, and what to expect from institutions and regulators in 2026. Old skeptic, new Bitcoin evangelist Larry Fink begins by owning his U‑turn: the man who once called Bitcoin “an index of money laundering and thieves” now oversees the world’s largest spot Bitcoin ETF at BlackRock. He says the shift came during Covid, after he “tested” his own views by meeting advocates and separating Bitcoin from the broader “crypto” label, concluding there is now “a big large use case for Bitcoin” as a long‑term asset. Today, he frames Bitcoin as “an asset of fear,” bought by people worried about physical or financial security and the long‑run debasement of money through deficits. Brian Armstrong rejects the Buffett–Munger line that Bitcoin (BTC) will still go to zero, arguing “there’s no chance…that’s going to happen at this point.” He casts the Berkshire duo as products of a dollar‑dominated era who “grew up in an environment…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
From “rat poison” to hedge: Larry Fink, Brian Armstrong and Crypto’s next act

From “rat poison” to hedge: Larry Fink, Brian Armstrong and Crypto’s next act

Brian Armstrong and Larry Fink debate Bitcoin, tokenization, regulation and AI, sketching a crypto‑infused, tech‑driven future for global finance. Brian Armstrong and Larry Fink use the DealBook Summit stage to sketch a future where Bitcoin, stablecoins, and tokenization sit inside—rather…

Author: Crypto.news
HTX Research Releases New Report on Prediction Markets: From Structural Constraints to the Future of Attention-Based Financial Infrastructure

HTX Research Releases New Report on Prediction Markets: From Structural Constraints to the Future of Attention-Based Financial Infrastructure

Panama City – Blockman PR – December 4, 2025—HTX Research, the dedicated research arm of leading global crypto exchange HTX, has released its latest report, Prediction Markets: From Structural Bottlenecks to Infrastructure Revolution and the Future of Attention Assets, offering a structured analysis of the foundations, development trajectory, and long-term potential of prediction markets. The […] The post HTX Research Releases New Report on Prediction Markets: From Structural Constraints to the Future of Attention-Based Financial Infrastructure appeared first on TechBullion.

Author: Techbullion
Prediction Market Services Face a Critical Crackdown: Connecticut Halts Robinhood and Crypto.com

Prediction Market Services Face a Critical Crackdown: Connecticut Halts Robinhood and Crypto.com

BitcoinWorld Prediction Market Services Face a Critical Crackdown: Connecticut Halts Robinhood and Crypto.com In a move that sends shockwaves through the fintech and crypto sectors, Connecticut has drawn a hard line. State authorities have ordered major platforms, including household names like Robinhood and Crypto.com, to immediately cease offering their prediction market services to residents. This decisive action places a glaring spotlight on the murky regulatory future of these […] This post Prediction Market Services Face a Critical Crackdown: Connecticut Halts Robinhood and Crypto.com first appeared on BitcoinWorld.

Author: bitcoinworld
Connecticut Escalates Anti-Crypto War With New Crackdown

Connecticut Escalates Anti-Crypto War With New Crackdown

The post Connecticut Escalates Anti-Crypto War With New Crackdown appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Connecticut has ordered Kalshi, Robinhood, and Crypto.com to halt event-based contracts immediately, deepening its aggressive stance against digital assets. The decision exposes a widening regulatory rift between state gambling laws and federal derivatives oversight. Sponsored Sponsored A New Flashpoint in Connecticut’s Anti-Crypto Campaign Connecticut has issued cease-and-desist orders to Kalshi, Robinhood Derivatives, and Crypto.com, accusing them of running unlicensed online sports betting through event-based prediction contracts. The Department of Consumer Protection (DCP) claims the platforms violated state gaming laws and put consumers at risk. The move arrives five months after Governor Ned Lamont signed a bill banning all state-level Bitcoin investments, cementing Connecticut as one of the least crypto-friendly jurisdictions in the US. While states like Texas, Arizona, and New Hampshire explore Bitcoin reserves and permissive digital-asset frameworks, Connecticut continues to tighten restrictions. Why the State Says Prediction Markets Are “Illegal Sports Betting” In its December 3 press release, the DCP said none of the three platforms holds a license to offer wagering in the state. “…their contracts violate numerous other state laws and policies, including offering wagers to individuals under the age of 21,” read an excerpt in the press release. Sponsored Sponsored Regulators accuse the platforms of: Advertising to people on the voluntary self-exclusion list Failing to implement integrity controls Allowing wagers on events with known outcomes Operating outside any consumer-protection framework Misleading users into believing the markets are legal investments “A prediction market wager is not an investment,” said DCP Gaming Director Kris Gilman. Against this backdrop, the DCP urges the platforms to cease all sports-event contracts and allow Connecticut residents to withdraw funds. While both Robinhood and Kalshi push back, citing federal oversight, only the latter has filed a federal lawsuit challenging Connecticut’s authority. Sponsored Sponsored Nonetheless, this clash highlights a growing legal fault line between…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
CZ Walks to Center Stage of Prediction Markets

CZ Walks to Center Stage of Prediction Markets

The post CZ Walks to Center Stage of Prediction Markets appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Binance founder Changpeng Zhao (CZ) is rapidly expanding his influence in the prediction market space. He introduced a new prediction market on BNB Chain, while Trust Wallet, which he owns, added prediction trading features for its 220 million users. These developments continue BNB Chain’s October integrations with Polymarket and the launch of the Opinion mainnet. Together, these moves aim to position BNB Chain as a key hub for decentralized forecasting markets, following October’s record $7.4 billion in prediction market volumes. Sponsored CZ Highlights New Prediction Platform with a Disclaimer On December 4, CZ posted on X about a new prediction market launching on BNB Chain. He pointed out a key feature: user funds generate yield while awaiting outcomes. The platform is backed by YZiLabs (formerly Binance Labs), which manages over $10 billion in assets and has invested in more than 300 projects globally. Welcome a new prediction market on @BNBChain.When you make a prediction, you funds don’t sit idle, they generate yield. Disclaimer: Founder is ex-Binance (a few years ago).Incubated/invested by YZiLabs.This tweet is not endorsement. 🙏 https://t.co/E0fxxKc3eE — CZ 🔶 BNB (@cz_binance) December 3, 2025 Although CZ promoted the platform, he included a disclaimer. He clarified that the founder was a former Binance employee and stressed the post was not an official endorsement. Despite this, the platform’s homepage features his image alongside public figures like Donald Trump and Faker, highlighting the promotional value of his involvement. In October, YZiLabs announced a $1 billion fund dedicated to the BNB ecosystem. It focuses on DeFi, real-world asset tokenization, wallets, AI, and payments. The fund has already supported over 65 projects, helping drive BNB Chain’s development. Trust Wallet Launches Prediction Trading for Millions of Users Just one day before CZ’s update, Trust Wallet released its Predictions feature, with Web3 prediction market protocol…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Fanatics And Crypto.com Launch Revolutionary Prediction Market Platform

Fanatics And Crypto.com Launch Revolutionary Prediction Market Platform

The post Fanatics And Crypto.com Launch Revolutionary Prediction Market Platform appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Game-Changer: Fanatics And Crypto.com Launch Revolutionary Prediction Market Platform Skip to content Home Crypto News Game-Changer: Fanatics and Crypto.com Launch Revolutionary Prediction Market Platform Source: https://bitcoinworld.co.in/fanatics-crypto-com-prediction-market-platform-2/

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Game-Changer: Fanatics and Crypto.com Launch Revolutionary Prediction Market Platform

Game-Changer: Fanatics and Crypto.com Launch Revolutionary Prediction Market Platform

BitcoinWorld Game-Changer: Fanatics and Crypto.com Launch Revolutionary Prediction Market Platform Get ready to place your bets on the future of everything. In a major move blending sports, finance, and digital assets, sports merchandise giant Fanatics has teamed up with crypto exchange leader Crypto.com to launch Fanatics Markets. This new prediction market platform lets users trade on the outcomes of real-world events, marking a significant evolution […] This post Game-Changer: Fanatics and Crypto.com Launch Revolutionary Prediction Market Platform first appeared on BitcoinWorld.

Author: bitcoinworld
Fanatics unveils prediction market platform Fanatics Markets with Crypto.com partnership

Fanatics unveils prediction market platform Fanatics Markets with Crypto.com partnership

The post Fanatics unveils prediction market platform Fanatics Markets with Crypto.com partnership appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Key Takeaways Fanatics has launched Fanatics Markets, a prediction market platform offering contracts in sports, finance, and culture. The platform partners with Crypto.com’s CFTC-registered exchange to provide institutional-grade trading across 24 states. Global digital sports company Fanatics has introduced Fanatics Markets, a prediction market platform that lets users trade on outcomes across sports, finance, politics, and culture, according to a Wednesday announcement. Fanatics has spent years building products that deepen fan engagement across everything from apparel to gaming. With Fanatics Markets, the company looks to offer a secure, intuitive platform where users can weigh in on key moments in sports and culture, CEO Matt King said in a statement. “With Fanatics Markets, we’re giving fans a safe and intuitive way to engage with the moments that move sports and culture, and to pick a side and profit along the way if their prediction is correct,” King stated. Fanatics Markets, which uses markets and pricing from Crypto.com Derivatives North America, provides tools and protection for users to interact safely with predictions. The platform is now available on iOS and Android, and is accessible across 24 states, including California, Texas, Florida, and Washington. “Crypto.com was the first to launch sports prediction markets, and our reach continues to grow through innovative partnerships with top-tier platforms such as Fanatics,” said Travis McGhee, Global Head of Predictions at Crypto.com. “We could not be more proud to be the partner of choice for Fanatics, and together we will provide fans with a safe and compliant way to access prediction markets.” Fanatics entered the space after acquiring Paragon Global Markets, a CFTC-registered introducing broker, in July 2025. The company plans to launch its prediction marketplace in other states in the future. Today’s launch covers event contracts on sports and macro events, with an expansion next year into…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Bitcoin’s rally now hinges on “shadow chair” bet that demands violent, immediate dollar collapse

Bitcoin’s rally now hinges on “shadow chair” bet that demands violent, immediate dollar collapse

The post Bitcoin’s rally now hinges on “shadow chair” bet that demands violent, immediate dollar collapse appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Bitcoin’s recent rebound came as traders raised the probability of a December Federal Reserve rate cut, the dollar eased, and attention turned to who will lead the central bank after Jerome Powell’s term ends in 2026. Futures markets moved the odds of a 25-basis-point cut this month into the mid-to-high 80% range, a shift that loosened financial conditions and coincided with a ninth straight daily decline in the dollar. The move helped pull BTC out of the $84,000–$87,000 range back toward $93,000 after a volatile November that saw leveraged crypto products and proxy equities whipsawed. Spot levels hovered near $92,300 in mid-week trading while the 10-year Treasury yield held around 4.1%, a backdrop that has historically aligned with risk-on positioning across crypto. Fed “shadow chair” speculation adds a fresh catalyst The policy narrative added a second catalyst. According to Reuters, President Trump plans to name his nominee for Fed chair in early 2026, ahead of Powell’s term ending on May 15, 2026. Reporting points to former White House economist, and former Coinbase advisor, Kevin Hassett as the leading candidate, with Fed Governor Christopher Waller, Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman, former Governor Kevin Warsh, and BlackRock’s Rick Rieder also discussed. Prediction-market pricing tilted toward Hassett as traders mapped a potentially easier policy path next year, though any nominee would not affect actual votes until confirmation and seating. Fed chair nomination betting (Source: Polymarket) The Federal Reserve notes that Powell’s current chair term runs through May 2026, and he may remain a governor until Jan. 31, 2028. The sequencing matters for Bitcoin because the effect before mid-2026 is driven by expectations and financial conditions rather than by near-term policy changes. Markets already pushed toward an easier stance as the probability of a December cut rose, the dollar weakened, and long yields…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews