Prediction-Market

Prediction Markets are decentralized platforms where users trade shares based on the outcome of future events, ranging from elections to sports and crypto prices.By leveraging the "wisdom of the crowd," platforms like Polymarket provide highly accurate, censorship-resistant forecasting data. In 2026, these markets serve as a primary source of sentiment analysis and risk hedging. This tag covers the technology behind decentralized oracles, event-based liquidity, and the growing role of prediction markets in global information discovery.

892 Articles

Created: 2026/02/02 18:52

Updated: 2026/02/02 18:52

PrizePicks Joins Polymarket in US Prediction Market Push

The post PrizePicks Joins Polymarket in US Prediction Market Push appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. PrizePicks, one of North America’s largest daily fantasy sports operators, has partnered with Polymarket to expand into the prediction-markets space, a move that could open new revenue streams beyond its core fantasy sports business. The partnership will integrate Polymarket’s event contracts directly into the PrizePicks app, allowing users to make predictions on outcomes spanning sports, entertainment and cultural events, the companies disclosed Tuesday. Polymarket founder and CEO Shayne Coplan said the collaboration could attract millions of PrizePicks users to the emerging prediction-markets ecosystem. Both companies said the rollout will coincide with Polymarket’s re-entry to the United States, signaling a renewed push to bring regulated prediction trading to American users. For PrizePicks, the move represents a strategic expansion beyond daily fantasy contests, positioning the company to diversify engagement and stand out in an increasingly competitive sports gaming landscape. Polymarket leads the prediction-market space in terms of volume and total markets. Source: Polymarket Analytics Polymarket stands out in the event-outcome prediction space for its decentralized design, built on the Polygon blockchain, which allows markets to operate transparently and without a central intermediary. The platform gained prominence during the 2024 US presidential election cycle, when its trading activity and market odds correctly anticipated Donald Trump’s return to the White House well before traditional polls reflected the shift. Related: Polymarket eyes $10B valuation as CFTC clears path to US return Prediction market growth comes under scrutiny Polymarket’s rapid rise has not been without controversy. A recent academic paper by researchers at Columbia University found that up to 60% of the platform’s trading volume may have been artificially inflated, primarily through wash trading — a practice in which the same entity repeatedly buys and sells an asset to create the illusion of market activity and liquidity. The researchers said they detected extensive wash trading on…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews

2025/11/12

Ideosphere Hopes Its Prediction Markets Will Fund Science

The post Ideosphere Hopes Its Prediction Markets Will Fund Science appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The co-founders of the decentralized science startup Ideosphere told Cointelegraph they aim to redirect the speculative energy of crypto prediction markets toward financing early-stage scientific research. Speaking to Cointelegraph at the Blockchain for Good Awards event in Copenhagen, Denmark, Ideosphere co-founder and head of technology Rei Jarram said that some research is considered too risky to invest in through traditional channels. She said that seeing the volume of money flowing to crypto gambling platforms prompted the project’s founders to wonder “if you could kind of siphon some of that speculation away from gambling toward early-stage research.” Jarram saw prediction markets as a perfect fit since “gamblers have a high risk appetite and early stage research and development is pretty risky.” Ideosphere prediction market UI Mockup. Source: Ideosphere Jarram said that while talent and innovation exist in abundance, funding remains scarce because traditional channels consider such projects too risky. “The money is there” she said, “but if they can’t get the money, it’s probably because of an incentive issue,” which is what Ideosphere hopes to solve. “If you can kind of create prediction markets around early stage research, you can make those markets a marketplace of ideas that will actually bring the money in. […] Researchers can put forward hypotheses that they are working on and traders can speculate on it, and the spread goes to the researcher.” The project is still in the early stages of development, with only front-end mockups available so far. Still, they have been awarded 10,000 USDt (USDT) of funding by the Blockchain for Good Alliance during the event. Ideosphere co-founders Mariana Oka (left) and Rei Jarram (right). Source: LinkedIn Related: Decentralized science will bring the brain on-chain It’s not that simple As with most decentralized science (DeSci) projects, Ideosphere is more complex than it may appear…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews

2025/11/12

U.S. Shutdown Days From Ending, Health Care Dispute Continues

The post U.S. Shutdown Days From Ending, Health Care Dispute Continues appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The record-long U.S. government shutdown appears to be in its final stretch, with prediction markets signaling overwhelming confidence that a deal will clear Congress within days. On Polymarket, traders now assign a 96% probability that the government reopens between November 12 and 15, aligning with the expected House vote on the Senate’s bipartisan funding bill. Over on Kalshi, contracts tied to the duration of the shutdown have seen similar momentum, with traders pricing in an end within the next 72 hours as confidence surged following the Senate’s 60–40 vote to fund the government through January 30. The jump in odds followed a decisive shift in Washington over the weekend. Seven Senate Democrats broke ranks to join Republicans in advancing a bill that reverses mass federal layoffs, restores back pay and food assistance, and keeps federal agencies running but leaves one politically explosive issue unresolved: the expiring Affordable Care Act (ACA) subsidies, which help lower monthly insurance premiums for millions. December vote on subsidies Even some of Trump’s allies are pushing back. Representative Marjorie Taylor Greene accused party leaders of “having no plan” to address potential doubling of premiums if subsidies lapse, while a bloc of endangered House Republicans has urged Speaker Mike Johnson to act before year’s end. Johnson has yet to commit to a vote on ACA relief, though he pledged to hold “a deliberative process” after the government reopens. A December Senate vote on the subsidies is part of the shutdown deal, but passage remains uncertain. If prediction markets are right, the government could reopen by Nov. 14, once the House passes the funding bill and Trump signs it. But as Kalshi and Polymarket traders lock in profits at the end of the shutdown, both parties are still gambling on a far tougher question: who gets blamed for…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews

2025/11/12

Major fantasy sports operator enters prediction markets with Polymarket

                                                                               PrizePicks has teamed up with Polymarket to let users wager on real-world outcomes, expanding beyond fantasy sports into the growing prediction-market space.                     PrizePicks, one of North America’s largest daily fantasy sports operators, has partnered with Polymarket to expand into the prediction-markets space — a move that could open new revenue streams beyond its core fantasy sports business.The partnership will integrate Polymarket’s event contracts directly into the PrizePicks app, allowing users to make predictions on outcomes spanning sports, entertainment and cultural events, the companies disclosed Tuesday. Polymarket founder and CEO Shayne Coplan said the collaboration could attract millions of PrizePicks users to the emerging prediction-markets ecosystem.Read more

Author: Coinstats

2025/11/12