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Prediction-Market

Prediction Markets are decentralized platforms where users trade shares based on the outcome of future events, ranging from elections to sports and crypto prices.By leveraging the "wisdom of the crowd," platforms like Polymarket provide highly accurate, censorship-resistant forecasting data. In 2026, these markets serve as a primary source of sentiment analysis and risk hedging. This tag covers the technology behind decentralized oracles, event-based liquidity, and the growing role of prediction markets in global information discovery.

888 Articles
Created: 2026/02/02 18:52
Updated: 2026/02/02 18:52
Polymarket, Kashi steal the spotlight

Polymarket, Kashi steal the spotlight

The post Polymarket, Kashi steal the spotlight appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Crypto investors infused fresh capital into innovative blockchain ventures this week, despite market volatility keeping traders on edge. Summary Crypto funding reached $3.19B across 20 projects in the week of Oct. 5-11, 2025. Polymarket led with a $2B raise at a $9B valuation backed by ICE investment. Kalshi secured $300M with backing from Sequoia, AI6Z, and Paradigm investors. Polymarket and Kashi emerged as standout deals from Oct. 5-11, signaling growing institutional interest in decentralized prediction markets. Some 20 companies secured nearly $3.2 billion in crypto funding, including those that specialize in derivatives, asset management, and even Bitcoin-backed life insurance. Here’s a breakdown of this week’s top announcements, according to Crypto Fundraising data: Polymarket Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) invested $2 billion in Polymarket, valuing the decentralized prediction-market platform at $8 billion pre-investment. It also gained exclusive global rights to distribute Polymarket’s event-driven probability data to institutional clients. Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan called the deal a milestone for bringing prediction markets into the financial mainstream. The investment follows Polymarket’s return to the U.S. market after overcoming regulatory challenges, including the acquisition of QCX to reestablish domestic operations and the addition of Donald Trump Jr. to its advisory board. We are excited to announce that Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) — the parent company of @NYSE, is making a $2b strategic investment at a $9b post-money valuation. Together, we’re building the next evolution of markets. A special thank you to all those who have supported us… pic.twitter.com/y7Z3koj3IU — Polymarket (@Polymarket) October 7, 2025 Kalshi Kalshi secured $300 million in fresh funding at a $5 billion valuation, doubling its worth since June. The platform now leads global prediction markets with over 60% share and $50 billion in annualized trading volume. Expansion into 140 countries positions Kalshi as a global force amid growing interest in real-world betting. DDC…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews

2025/10/12

Crypto VC Funding: Polymarket dominates with $2b investment, Kalshi raises $300m

Crypto VC Funding: Polymarket dominates with $2b investment, Kalshi raises $300m

Some 20 companies secured nearly $3.2 billion in crypto funding, including one firm that specializes in Bitcoin-backed life insurance.

Author: Crypto.news

2025/10/12

Kalshi Starts Global Expansion With New $300M Raise

Kalshi Starts Global Expansion With New $300M Raise

The post Kalshi Starts Global Expansion With New $300M Raise appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. United States-based prediction marketplace Kalshi closed another major funding round to bring its platform to more than 100 countries worldwide. Kalshi completed a Series D funding round of over $300 million led by Sequoia Capital and Andreessen Horowitz (a16z), with participation by Paradigm, the company announced on Friday. The platform is immediately available in over 140 countries, Kalshi said in a statement shared with Cointelegraph, adding that it has now emerged as the “world’s only unified global prediction market and instantly added billions of new potential customers.” The latest $300 million raise came months after Kalshi closed a separate $185 million funding round in June, which was led by Paradigm and also featured Sequoia. $5 billion valuation Kalshi’s Series D funding brought the company’s valuation to $5 billion, up $3 billion from its previous raise in June. In addition to Sequoia, a16z and Paradigm, the new funding round attracted additional investors, including CapitalG, Coinbase Ventures, General Catalyst and Spark Capital. On the heels of a fundraising round valuing Kalshi at $5 billion, the platform also announced its international expansion with an immediate launch in several new markets. “International users can now access the platform via the Kalshi website with an identical product experience to American users,” the company said. 38 countries are restricted Approached by Cointelegraph, Kalshi did not immediately disclose the markets where the platform is expanding, instead referring to a member agreement that lists 38 restricted jurisdictions. Among the restricted countries, the document lists Canada, France, Poland, Russia, Singapore, Taiwan, Thailand, the United Kingdom, Venezuela and others. The list of restricted countries on Kalshi is included in a member agreement. Source: Kalshi “Kalshi has emerged as the leading prediction market platform, and we’re thrilled to back them,” a16z’s Growth Fund partner Alex Immerman said. Related: Kalshi ‘ready to…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews

2025/10/11

Prediction Market Kalshi Valued at $5B

Prediction Market Kalshi Valued at $5B

The post Prediction Market Kalshi Valued at $5B appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Online prediction market Kalshi has raised more than $300 million at a $5 billion valuation as prediction markets move into the financial mainstream, according to a report by the New York Times on Friday. The company will now allow users in over 140 countries to place bets, marking its first major international expansion, the article said. Kalshi projects $50 billion in annualized trading volume this year, up from $300 million last year, and now holds more than 60% of global market share, surpassing rival Polymarket. The funding round was led by major investors including Sequoia Capital, Andreessen Horowitz, Paradigm, CapitalG, and Coinbase Ventures, the New York Times said. Growth has been driven by sports betting, particularly parlays, putting pressure on sportsbooks like DraftKings (DKNG) and FanDuel Group, the report noted. Kalshi has also integrated with platforms like Robinhood (HOOD) and Webull (BULL) to make event trading more accessible. Still, regulatory scrutiny remains a challenge, the article said. After clearing a federal hurdle with the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) earlier this year, Kalshi now faces lawsuits from several U.S. states accusing it of skirting sports betting laws. Read more: Massachusetts State Attorney General Alleges Kalshi Violating Sports Gambling Laws Source: https://www.coindesk.com/business/2025/10/10/kalshi-raises-usd300m-at-usd5b-valuation-expands-prediction-markets-to-140-countries-nyt

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews

2025/10/11

Prediction Market Kalshi Hits $5B Valuation After Massive $300M Fundraise

Prediction Market Kalshi Hits $5B Valuation After Massive $300M Fundraise

TLDR: Kalshi raised $300M in a new round, pushing its valuation to $5B as it eyes major global expansion. The platform’s annualized trading volume is projected to reach $50B, up from $300M just a year ago. Kalshi now holds over 60% global market share, surpassing Polymarket in prediction-market dominance. The firm plans to open access [...] The post Prediction Market Kalshi Hits $5B Valuation After Massive $300M Fundraise appeared first on Blockonomi.

Author: Blockonomi

2025/10/11

Nobel Peace Prize Sparks Insider Trading Questions On Prediction Sites

Nobel Peace Prize Sparks Insider Trading Questions On Prediction Sites

The post Nobel Peace Prize Sparks Insider Trading Questions On Prediction Sites appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. A sudden surge in Nobel Peace Prize odds hints that prediction markets may be less about wisdom and more about who knows first. (Photo Illustration by Thomas Fuller/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images) SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images At 5 a.m. Eastern Time on Friday, the Norwegian Nobel Committee announced that this year’s Peace Prize would go to Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado for her “tireless work promoting democratic rights for the people of Venezuela and for her struggle to achieve a just and peaceful transition from dictatorship to democracy.” It came as a surprise. On the two largest prediction markets, Polymarket and Kalshi, Machado had been running behind Yulia Navalnaya, the widow of Russian dissident Alexei Navalny, and President Donald Trump, whose brokering of a ceasefire between Hamas and Israel this week generated calls for him to get the award. But, something odd happened Thursday night. At 6:30 p.m. ET, Machado’s odds of winning sat at 3.6 percent. By 7:00, they jumped to 39 percent, then 65 percent by 7:30, topping out at 73 percent by 8:00. Less than ten hours later, the Nobel Committee made it official. Economist Jason Furman, a Harvard professor and former chair of President Obama’s Council of Economic Advisers, wrote on X that the sudden spike sure looked like insider trading. He’s not the only one thinking that. And there’s a certain irony to the Nobel Peace Prize having insiders willing to trade on what they know. The catch is, that isn’t necessarily against the rules. Prediction markets are mostly unregulated territory. As Molly White wrote in her Citation Needed newsletter on September 16, 2025, insider trading laws enforced by the SEC don’t apply. These aren’t securities, they’re contracts overseen, when at all, by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). That gap creates plenty…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews

2025/10/11

Kalshi Raises $300 Million, Targets Global Expansion Amid Surging Prediction Market Growth

Kalshi Raises $300 Million, Targets Global Expansion Amid Surging Prediction Market Growth

The post Kalshi Raises $300 Million, Targets Global Expansion Amid Surging Prediction Market Growth appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. In Brief Kalshi secures $300M in Series D funding, reaching a $5 billion market valuation. The platform expands globally, launching in over 140 countries outside the U.S. Kalshi overtakes Polymarket with 66% share in global prediction market transactions. Prediction market platform Kalshi has secured $300 million in Series D funding, boosting its valuation to $5 billion. The company now plans to expand operations into more than 140 countries while maintaining its U.S.-based regulatory framework. The funding round included major investors such as Sequoia Capital, Andreessen Horowitz, Paradigm, CapitalG, Coinbase Ventures, and General Catalyst. This capital injection follows Kalshi’s $185 million Series C raise earlier this year, when the platform was valued at $2 billion. Kalshi has grown rapidly since launching in 2021, processing over $10.5 billion in notional volume, according to Dune Analytics. In September alone, the company claimed 66% of the global prediction market share, overtaking its decentralised rival Polymarket. The company’s rise is largely attributed to its growing suite of sports-based prediction contracts and retail-friendly trading tools. While regulatory scrutiny has increased, Kalshi continues to emphasise its CFTC-regulated structure as a long-term advantage. Platform Growth Accelerates as Rival Polymarket Prepares U.S. Reentry Kalshi’s platform is now projected to reach $50 billion in annualised trading volume, reflecting exponential month-over-month user growth. Its interface supports identical features for both domestic and international users, though regional restrictions remain in place. Despite expansion, Kalshi still faces challenges in 38 jurisdictions, including Canada, the UK, and Singapore, per its user agreement. Legal pressure continues as several U.S. states pursue cases over its sports-related offerings, citing gambling laws. Meanwhile, Polymarket has announced a $2 billion investment from Intercontinental Exchange, raising its valuation to $9 billion. The move positions Polymarket for a U.S. comeback after a 2022 ban from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Kalshi,…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews

2025/10/11

Kalshi Raises $300M, Expands Prediction Markets to 140+ Countries

Kalshi Raises $300M, Expands Prediction Markets to 140+ Countries

The post Kalshi Raises $300M, Expands Prediction Markets to 140+ Countries appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Key Notes The fintech platform’s trading volume surged 200X while its user base grew 20X over the past year. Kalshi now commands over 60% of global prediction market activity despite previously operating only in the US. The company navigated significant regulatory challenges with the CFTC throughout 2024 before expanding internationally. Kalshi, a fintech platform that facilitates the trading of “event contracts,” recently announced it was expanding its prediction markets to more than 140 countries after successfully raising $300 million in a Series D funding round. The firm’s CEO, Tarek Mansour, said in a post on X that the Series D was led by Sequoia and a16z, with participation from Paradigm, Coinbase Ventures, General Catalyst, CapitalG, Spark, Kevin Hart, Kevin Durant, Rich Kleiman, Mantis, and Kevin Yorn. The round led by Sequoia and a16z received participation from Paradigm, Coinbase Ventures, General Catalyst, CapitalG, Spark, Kevin Hart, Kevin Durant, Rich Kleiman, Mantis, and Kevin Yorn. Back to work. — Tarek Mansour (@mansourtarek_) October 10, 2025 A New Era for Prediction Markets According to a press release, Kalshi was valued at $5 billion during its “massively oversubscribed” Series D. This puts its value up approximately $3 billion since its Series C in June. The firm also says its trading volume has grown 200X in the last year and its user base has ballooned by 20X. “Kalshi now accounts for over 60 percent of global prediction-market activity,” it says, despite previously operating solely in the US. Kalshi appears to have weathered a stormy regulatory environment after a tumultuous back-and-forth with the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) throughout much of 2024. As Coinspeaker reported in September 2024, the CFTC chair at the time, Rostin Behnam, sought to ban event contracts on sensitive issues such as gaming, terrorism, and assassination. Behnam was particularly concerned over…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews

2025/10/11

Kalshi Raises $300 Million Reaching a $5 Billion Valuation as Prediction Markets Go Mainstream

Kalshi Raises $300 Million Reaching a $5 Billion Valuation as Prediction Markets Go Mainstream

The post Kalshi Raises $300 Million Reaching a $5 Billion Valuation as Prediction Markets Go Mainstream appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Kalshi, a blockchain-based prediction market company, has raised $300 million in a recent funding round, capitalizing on the increased popularity of these platforms. The round, which pushes Kalshi’s valuation to $5 billion, underscores the reach of these companies as they keep growing in volume and relevance. Prediction Market Company Kalshi Raises $300M at $5B Valuation […] Source: https://news.bitcoin.com/kalshi-raises-300-million-reaching-a-5-billion-valuation-as-prediction-markets-go-mainstream/

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews

2025/10/11

Why Kalshi’s $5B valuation puts Polymarket on notice

Why Kalshi’s $5B valuation puts Polymarket on notice

The post Why Kalshi’s $5B valuation puts Polymarket on notice appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. A high-stakes capital race has redefined the prediction market. Kalshi’s $300 million raise at a $5 billion valuation positioned it as the most valuable CFTC-regulated event-contract exchange in history. The firm’s expansion into 140 countries and growing list of macro and cultural markets seemed to cement its place as the global leader. Around the same time, Polymarket, Kalshi’s on-chain rival, secured $2 billion in backing from Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), the owner of the New York Stock Exchange, and announced plans to re-enter the US market through a newly licensed exchange framework. This marks the first true duel between regulated infrastructure and crypto-native liquidity in the prediction market. Polymarket goes institutional The ICE investment transformed Polymarket overnight from a scrappy decentralized platform into a heavyweight competitor with Wall Street credentials. ICE’s commitment gives the firm an implied valuation of $8 billion and makes it the first blockchain-based prediction market to gain backing from a Tier-1 financial operator. Beyond the capital, the partnership grants Polymarket access to ICE’s global distribution and data-feed infrastructure: channels that reach thousands of institutions already plugged into equities, commodities, and derivatives markets. Polymarket’s comeback also carries a regulatory twist. After years of operating offshore, the company has quietly built a compliant US pathway by acquiring QCX LLC, a CFTC-licensed exchange. Through QCX, Polymarket obtained a Designated Contract Market license and adopted a self-certification mechanism for event markets, allowing it to list new contracts without pre-approval unless the CFTC objects. That structure effectively mirrors Kalshi’s own legal model. A recent no-action letter cleared the way for Polymarket to resume operations in the United States, starting with contracts tied to sports outcomes and election probabilities. In parallel, Polymarket has timed its re-entry to coincide with the surge in political and sports-betting interest ahead of the 2026 election cycle. Its…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews

2025/10/10

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